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Methodology

How the risk score works

14 weighted factors feed one number — open any one below to see exactly what it measures.

All 14 factors below are the complete set the scorer evaluates, and their weights sum to 100% of the composite risk score. Every vessel is scored against the same 14factors, in the same order, every time.

AIS Gap Detection

9.0%

Measures the duration of a vessel's AIS gaps, with longer gaps contributing more risk.

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Gap Frequency (90d)

9.0%

Measures how many AIS gaps the vessel has recorded in the prior 90 days.

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Location Risk

9.0%

Weights proximity to known high-risk hotspots and the configured risk of those hotspots.

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Flag State

9.0%

Scores vessel flags associated with higher evasion or oversight risk.

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Vessel Age

5.0%

Scores older vessels according to the model's configured age thresholds.

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Vessel Type

2.5%

Applies the model's vessel-class signal, including its configured tanker weighting.

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Prior History

5.0%

Scores the vessel's prior AIS gap history as accumulated evidence.

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Sanctions Match

9.0%

Adds a binary signal when the vessel matches a sanctions record.

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STS Transfer Detection

7.5%

Scores confirmed, verified, and suspected ship-to-ship transfer evidence.

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Draft Cargo Mismatch

7.5%

Scores draft mismatches, directional anomalies, and high-deviation readings.

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Vessel Loitering

7.5%

Scores loitering events near vessels, hotspots, or outside routine port context.

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Identity Change Tracking

7.5%

Scores flag, name, and MMSI changes in a vessel's identity history.

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P&I Insurance Coverage

7.5%

Scores P&I coverage status and International Group membership evidence.

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Obfuscation Risk

5.0%

Scores entity-history signals such as renames, jurisdiction cycling, and address changes.

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Risk Factor Methodology | Axiom Overwatch